Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004826 0.005342 0.005877 0.006471 0.007113 0.007783 0.008536
2024-12-22 0.004069 0.004809 0.005616 0.006557 0.007619 0.008778 0.010133
2024-12-29 0.003663 0.004540 0.005529 0.006722 0.008110 0.009669 0.011542
2025-01-05 0.003370 0.004347 0.005484 0.006891 0.008572 0.010503 0.012873
2025-01-12 0.002970 0.003984 0.005196 0.006736 0.008619 0.010829 0.013596
2025-01-19 0.002693 0.003740 0.005026 0.006698 0.008785 0.011279 0.014455
2025-01-26 0.002427 0.003488 0.004823 0.006596 0.008854 0.011599 0.015149
2025-02-02 0.002230 0.003308 0.004696 0.006575 0.009012 0.012019 0.015963
2025-02-09 0.002051 0.003136 0.004566 0.006538 0.009139 0.012395 0.016719
2025-02-16 0.001961 0.003080 0.004581 0.006687 0.009502 0.013071 0.017862
2025-02-23 0.001797 0.002908 0.004430 0.006603 0.009553 0.013341 0.018486
2025-03-02 0.001675 0.002787 0.004340 0.006594 0.009698 0.013731 0.019267
2025-03-09 0.001630 0.002779 0.004412 0.006816 0.010166 0.014564 0.020653
2025-03-16 0.001545 0.002706 0.004387 0.006899 0.010446 0.015155 0.021736
2025-03-23 0.001493 0.002679 0.004425 0.007071 0.010850 0.015913 0.023050
2025-03-30 0.001447 0.002657 0.004468 0.007247 0.011261 0.016687 0.024395
2025-04-06 0.001315 0.002489 0.004284 0.007086 0.011188 0.016798 0.024846
2025-04-13 0.001224 0.002383 0.004187 0.007046 0.011284 0.017138 0.025609
2025-04-20 0.001126 0.002256 0.004051 0.006941 0.011278 0.017334 0.026173
2025-04-27 0.001054 0.002169 0.003974 0.006919 0.011392 0.017695 0.026968
2025-05-04 0.000984 0.002081 0.003888 0.006880 0.011477 0.018014 0.027707
2025-05-11 0.000958 0.002070 0.003927 0.007035 0.011852 0.018751 0.029040
2025-05-18 0.000886 0.001970 0.003815 0.006947 0.011858 0.018957 0.029625